However, according to an intriguing piece of data, Biden’s position among Democrats has grown slightly stronger in recent months, while Trump’s position among Republicans has grown slightly weaker.
Both men have stated that they expect to announce their intentions for the next campaign after the results of this year’s midterm elections, which are now only 11 days away.
The margin of error for the poll of 1,000 likely midterm voters, conducted by landline and cellphone Oct. 19-24, is 3.1%points.
Biden leads Trump 46%-42% in a prospective presidential race, a 4-point margin that mirrors Biden’s 4.2-point defeat of Trump in 2020. That’s the same 4-point lead Biden had over Trump in a July USA TODAY/Suffolk poll, 45%-41%.
Biden’s bad numbers get better
Voters oppose Biden running for a second term by a margin of 64% to 26%.
Those results aren’t spectacular, but they are an improvement over the summer when 69% of those polled said he shouldn’t run.
Biden’s standing among Democrats has improved significantly. They now say they want him to run by a 45%-43% margin. Only 35% of Democrats wanted him to run in July, while 50% did not.
Trump’s bad numbers get worse
Voters oppose Trump running for a second term by a margin of 68% to 27%.
Those findings have deteriorated slightly since the summer when 65%-28% of voters wanted him to abandon another presidential bid.
Trump’s popularity among Republicans has dipped, but he remains more popular within his own party than Biden is. By a margin of 56% to 39%, Republican voters want Trump to run again. This is a slight decrease from July when Republicans supported another race by a margin of 60%-34%.
With ratings, maybe it’s all relative
Since the summer, Biden’s job approval rating has risen from 44% approve to 53% disapprove. His standing is still 9 points below average, but it is higher than his July rating of 39%-56%.